Topic Hub · How wrong you might be.

Statistics.

P-values, power and intervals — the tools that keep confident nonsense out.

Personalized feedUpdated · 2026-07-08

Articles

0

Quick Takes

0

Videos

0Soon

Podcasts

0Soon

Clarity Index

Soon

Followers

Soon

The Standard on Statistics

Statistics is the discipline that tells you how wrong you might be. Skipping it is how confident nonsense gets published — in journals and in broadcasts.

What this field actually measures

p-value

Probability of data this extreme if the null hypothesis were true.

ReferenceThe conventional 0.05 threshold is a convention, not a law of nature.

LimitIt is not the probability that the hypothesis is true. It never was.

Statistical power

Chance of detecting an effect that genuinely exists.

ReferenceReviews across biomedical and social fields repeatedly find median power well below the 80% target.

Confidence interval

Range of values compatible with the data.

ReferenceFar more informative than a point estimate, and far less frequently quoted.

Evidence & metrics

The published work behind the numbers above, and the public datasets you can open to check us. If a claim can’t be traced here, we don’t print it.

Citations

  1. ASA statement on p-values: context, process, and purpose

    Wasserstein & Lazar — The American Statistician · 2016

    A p-value does not measure effect size or the probability the hypothesis is true, and thresholds should not drive conclusions.

  2. Why most published research findings are false

    Ioannidis — PLoS Medicine · 2005

    Low prior probability, small samples, and flexible analysis make a large share of published positive findings unreliable.

Datasets

  • Our World in Data

    Global Change Data Lab / University of Oxford · free

    Sourced, downloadable long-run series across health, energy, and economics.

  • US Census Bureau data portal

    US Census Bureau · free

    Population, economic, and survey microdata with published margins of error.

Still open

  • How much published sport science is underpowered?
  • Should effect sizes and intervals be mandatory in public sports reporting?
  • What replaces null-hypothesis testing in applied settings?

What we won’t say

We will not call a result 'significant' as though that meant 'important.' The word has a technical meaning and a marketing meaning.

  • VO-1Evidence before wit
  • VO-2Punch at claims, never at people
  • VO-3Say the uncertainty out loud
Read the Brand Voice Standard
Latest Articles

Everything published on this topic.

No articles have been published for Statistics yet. New long-form pieces will land here.

The Archive

Everything published on Statistics.

The permanent record of every piece we publish under this topic — grouped by year, oldest kept as history.

Quick Takes

Short reactions, polls, and open questions.

Faster than the long form. Same standard.

No quick takes match this filter yet.

2CS Analysis Framework

Evidence, counterpoints, patterns, and the standard.

Every entry links back to its source article. Nothing duplicated.

Framework entries appear here as articles publish.

Future Watch

Open questions and measurable predictions.

We log the question, the confidence, and the review date. When the evidence moves, so does our position.

No active predictions are currently being tracked for this topic.

Video

Coverage on screen.

Long-form, shorts, and playlists connected back to the source articles.

Video coverage is coming soon.

Coming Soon

We haven't published video on Statistics yet. Playlists, chapters, and shorts will surface here as they roll out.

Podcast

Long-form conversations.

No podcast episodes yet.

Coming Soon

When we publish podcast episodes on Statistics, each will link back to its source article.

Related Topics

Connected hubs.

Where this topic overlaps with the rest of the 2CS knowledge graph.

Topic Discussion

The conversation, on the record.

Community discussion is coming soon.

Coming Soon

A dedicated space for readers to discuss this topic will live here — moderated to the same standard as the editorial.

The 2ND Take

Follow Statistics.

One weekly dispatch. Signal over noise. No spam.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.