Trade Simulator
Build the two sides of any trade. We weigh WAR sent vs. received, salary balance, and years of control — then return a verdict, not a guess.
Inputs
Team A sends
Team B sends
Result
- WAR × Yrs
- 20.8
- Salary owed
- $30M
- Surplus
- $136M
- Net
- +$94M
- WAR × Yrs
- 13.5
- Salary owed
- $66M
- Surplus
- $42M
- Net
- $-94M
Methodology
Each side's value is Σ (WAR × years) multiplied by a market rate of $8M per win, minus the total salary owed. The surplus is what a team gains above what it pays.
The verdict is the difference in surplus between what a team receives and what it sends. A gap under $3M is inside the noise of any real WAR projection; over $12M is a lopsided deal.
What this ignores. Injury risk, roster fit, positional scarcity, no-trade clauses, and revenue markets. Treat the number as the opening bid of the argument, not the last word.
Read the full Trade Value explainer → — the surplus-value formula, every assumption, a worked example, the failure modes, and an FAQ.
