Prediction Tracker™

What we said would happen. What actually did.

Great analysis makes testable predictions. Every prediction is permanent, connected to a Claim, and reviewed against reality. The goal isn't perfection — it's intellectual honesty.

Total
3
Watching
3
Resolved
0
Confirmed
0
PredictionWatchingModerate · 58
Bears extend QB1 before Week 1, 2026

The extension window is the true test of Chicago's build-first plan. If the front office commits to the rookie-contract QB before the market resets, the operating model holds.

Target
Sep 1, 2026
34 days to target
Author
Marcus Ellis
Anchor claim →
Clarity Index™CS-013 · Coming soon
2 evidence · 1 counter · 3 eventsOpen
PredictionDevelopingModerate · 51
Bears reach the 2025 playoffs

Near-term proof point for the build. A wild-card berth validates that the surrounding roster investment is paying off before the extension window opens.

Target
Jan 10, 2026
200 days past target
Author
Marcus Ellis
Anchor claim →
Clarity Index™CS-013 · Coming soon
1 evidence · 1 counter · 2 eventsOpen

Reserved architecture

Community Predictions™ (CS-015), Author Intelligence™ (CS-014), and the Clarity Index™ (CS-013) plug into this tracker without a rewrite. Every prediction already carries the shape those systems will read.